RE: OT: Re: Are you a "Mental Gymnast"?

[Watson Laughton <WLaughton -at- orphan -dot- com>]

>>So, basically what you are saying is that you are really 
>>choosing from a set of two--the one you choose and the one 
>>Monty is not going to discard (because you know he is 
>>going to discard one), not a set of three like everyone 
>>bases the problem on.

But what I fail to understand is why, if both the two remaining doors now
have a probablilty of 50% of having the prize behind them, are you any
better off switching from your original pick (which now has a 50%
probability of winning) to the other door (which also has a 50% probability
of winning)??  Something doesn't compute here...


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