Re: Are you a "Mental Gymnast"?

Subject: Re: Are you a "Mental Gymnast"?
From: bucherino -at- yahoo -dot- com
To: "TECHWR-L" <techwr-l -at- lists -dot- raycomm -dot- com>
Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 17:07:23 -0700


In the hopes of settling this debate, here are several web
sites that provide simulations that empirically prove the answer
described in the FAQ. We can debate logic forever, but you can't
dispute the numbers.

The most thorough is this one:

http://math.ucsd.edu/~anistat/chi-an/MonteHallParadox.html

(Click "Always Switch" or "Never Switch" to choose how you want
to play. Type a number, then click Go. And note the differences
when you change whether the host knows or doesn't know. You
should switch if he knows, but it becomes 50-50 if he doesn't
know.)

Or, you can play the game yourself here:
http://www.stat.sc.edu/~west/javahtml/LetsMakeaDeal.html

or here:
http://math.ucsd.edu/~crypto/Monty/monty.html

or here:
http://people.hofstra.edu/staff/steven_r_costenoble/MontyHall/MontyHallSim.html


AB



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